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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“

Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (149-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 45 10-16 3-7 6-7 9 5 0 0 29 - -
Devin Booker * 43 10-19 5-10 9-9 6 7 2 0 34 - -
Bradley Beal * 40 5-13 0-5 1-2 1 9 0 0 11 - -
Nick Richards * 26 9-13 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 18 - -
Bol Bol * 13 2-6 1-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Grayson Allen 29 3-4 2-2 3-5 0 4 0 0 11 - -
Mason Plumlee 26 7-8 0-0 4-5 11 0 1 1 18 - -
Royce O'Neale 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 14 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 6 - -
Collin Gillespie 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokiฤ‡ * 44 13-22 3-7 2-3 21 22 3 0 31 - -
Jamal Murray * 41 8-14 1-4 2-2 1 8 3 0 19 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 39 7-13 1-5 1-2 2 3 1 1 16 - -
Aaron Gordon * 38 9-15 7-10 2-2 3 1 0 0 27 - -
Christian Braun * 37 8-11 4-5 5-6 5 5 0 1 25 - -
Russell Westbrook 25 6-11 1-2 1-1 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Peyton Watson 23 4-7 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 1 11 - -
Zeke Nnaji 13 2-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter