Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (104-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 24 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 31 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 22 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Clark | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 43 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 9-21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 27 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter