Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (111-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 11-24 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 35 | 13-29 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 39 | 10-23 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 6-19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 33 | 10-15 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 31 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter