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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 64.5% 35.5% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.0% 21.0% - βœ“
Margin 88.8% 11.2% -11.4 βœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 85.2% 14.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 82.9% 17.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 72.5% 27.5% - βœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -12 (97-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 38 10-13 0-1 1-4 11 2 0 1 21 - -
Alperen Sengun * 36 11-14 0-0 0-3 6 8 3 1 22 - -
Dillon Brooks * 36 6-9 1-4 1-2 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Jalen Green * 34 3-10 2-7 1-1 2 8 0 1 9 - -
Tari Eason * 30 7-14 4-8 2-2 2 4 5 1 20 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. 28 6-13 2-8 2-4 5 1 0 1 16 - -
Steven Adams 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 6 1 0 3 - -
Reed Sheppard 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Jeff Green 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 38 9-15 3-8 5-5 5 0 0 2 26 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 5-15 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 5-15 0-0 10-12 10 3 1 2 20 - -
Yves Missi * 27 3-5 0-0 4-6 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 22 2-5 1-1 3-4 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Jose Alvarado 23 3-9 1-4 0-0 2 4 4 0 7 - -
Karlo Matković 21 2-9 0-3 2-4 6 3 1 2 6 - -
Jordan Hawkins 20 2-8 1-4 2-2 5 0 1 0 7 - -
Bruce Brown 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 - -

* = starter