Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +6 (124-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 12-18 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 34 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 26 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 24 | 10-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 21 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter