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2025-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (27.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% -
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +30 (137-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Christie * 35 5-16 2-9 1-1 2 1 2 0 13 - -
Klay Thompson * 34 11-27 6-14 0-0 4 4 1 0 28 - -
Naji Marshall * 32 10-18 2-6 0-1 11 2 1 0 22 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 29 3-7 1-3 1-4 1 6 4 1 8 - -
Dwight Powell * 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 6 - -
Brandon Williams 34 7-15 0-4 0-0 5 8 2 0 14 - -
Kessler Edwards 25 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 2 1 7 - -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 24 3-7 1-1 2-4 2 2 1 0 9 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 29 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 26 7-9 2-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 17 - -
Damian Lillard * 26 11-15 5-8 7-7 3 5 2 0 34 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 24 13-20 0-0 6-6 15 4 1 0 32 - -
Brook Lopez * 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -
AJ Green 30 6-9 6-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 18 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 26 4-11 0-5 2-3 11 14 1 0 10 - -
Jericho Sims 20 5-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 10 - -
Chris Livingston 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 9 3-7 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Stanley Umude 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Jamaree Bouyea 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Tyler Smith 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter