Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 42 | 14-32 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 41 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 23 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 38 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 14-15 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 10-20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter