Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.6% | 19.4% | -7.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -17 (103-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 14-25 | 3-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 30 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 19 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 15 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 8-22 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 21 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 19 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Spencer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter