Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 40 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 9-9 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 28 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 24 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 24 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter