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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% -
Margin 15.5% 84.5% +9.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% -
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +21 (136-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 32 6-12 1-6 6-7 6 5 2 0 19 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 27 4-9 1-2 2-2 4 2 1 1 11 - -
Zion Williamson * 26 17-23 0-0 3-6 4 6 1 1 37 - -
CJ McCollum * 25 4-11 1-5 1-1 3 5 1 0 10 - -
Yves Missi * 23 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 1 3 0 2 - -
Jordan Hawkins 29 6-14 4-10 1-2 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Jose Alvarado 25 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 - -
Bruce Brown 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 - -
Karlo Matković 17 2-4 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 1 5 - -
Jamal Cain 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 4 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Dončić * 34 9-19 6-13 6-11 8 15 1 1 30 - -
LeBron James * 33 10-18 5-10 9-9 8 6 1 2 34 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 29 3-10 2-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Gabe Vincent * 28 1-7 0-6 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 23 8-8 0-0 3-3 10 0 0 0 19 - -
Dalton Knecht 26 5-9 2-6 1-2 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 20 4-7 2-4 2-2 8 1 1 2 12 - -
Shake Milton 18 5-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 12 - -
Trey Jemison III 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Alex Len 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bronny James 4 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter