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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - βœ“
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 βœ— (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 69.2% 30.8% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% - βœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (119-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 5-14 2-9 9-11 6 15 2 0 21 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 36 5-7 3-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 13 - -
Ivica Zubac * 36 15-19 0-0 5-6 10 3 1 1 35 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 36 9-20 1-6 2-2 4 3 1 1 21 - -
Kris Dunn * 31 1-6 0-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 - -
Amir Coffey 22 5-8 1-2 2-2 2 0 2 0 13 - -
Nicolas Batum 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 11 1-4 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 1 7 - -
Jordan Miller 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 41 10-22 4-11 10-10 7 4 1 2 34 - -
Devin Booker * 40 6-11 1-4 4-8 5 8 0 0 17 - -
Nick Richards * 23 8-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 16 - -
Bradley Beal * 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Bol Bol * 9 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Royce O'Neale 28 4-9 4-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Mason Plumlee 24 4-7 0-1 6-6 6 4 0 0 14 - -
Grayson Allen 23 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 8 - -
Tyus Jones 18 1-3 1-3 3-3 1 5 1 0 6 - -
Collin Gillespie 14 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 - -

* = starter