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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 ✗ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - ✓
Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (121-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 36 9-18 2-10 3-3 5 4 2 0 23 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 9-18 0-2 8-12 12 10 1 0 26 - -
Brook Lopez * 33 5-14 1-5 2-2 13 3 1 1 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 7-10 1-2 2-3 10 2 0 0 17 - -
Taurean Prince * 28 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 24 6-10 2-6 1-1 0 2 2 0 15 - -
AJ Green 23 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Jericho Sims 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 11 6-7 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 15 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 9-24 1-6 9-9 2 13 1 0 28 - -
Dyson Daniels * 33 7-14 2-4 0-2 9 6 2 0 16 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 27 3-7 0-1 0-0 9 2 1 2 6 - -
Mouhamed Gueye * 25 5-7 4-6 1-2 5 1 2 1 15 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 24 3-10 1-6 0-1 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Caris LeVert 29 8-13 2-4 3-3 3 4 1 0 21 - -
Georges Niang 22 3-11 2-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Terance Mann 21 4-7 4-6 0-0 4 4 1 1 12 - -
Clint Capela 20 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 2 8 - -

* = starter