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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - ✗
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 ✗ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% - ✗
Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - ✗

Actual: Orlando Magic -1 (113-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 31 7-14 3-6 4-9 8 9 0 1 21 - -
Scottie Barnes * 29 6-13 1-5 4-5 13 5 3 1 17 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 28 4-10 2-4 7-8 3 0 1 1 17 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 26 4-9 2-4 5-7 4 4 0 0 15 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 23 6-8 0-0 5-5 7 2 2 1 17 - -
A.J. Lawson 26 5-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 2 13 - -
Orlando Robinson 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Jamal Shead 21 3-10 1-4 1-1 1 5 1 0 8 - -
Jared Rhoden 20 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 39 14-20 4-5 9-10 8 8 4 1 41 - -
Franz Wagner * 35 11-23 3-7 3-4 5 1 0 0 28 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 26 5-11 1-3 1-1 2 3 2 0 12 - -
Cory Joseph * 26 3-7 2-6 0-0 1 5 1 0 8 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 23 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 - -
Tristan da Silva 28 4-5 4-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Jonathan Isaac 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 3 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 16 0-0 0-0 2-4 5 3 0 1 2 - -
Anthony Black 14 1-4 0-2 3-4 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Jett Howard 10 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter