Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +13 (115-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 28 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 25 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 8-19 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 20 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter