Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (27.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -24 (98-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 29 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 24 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 23 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 23 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 27 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 26 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 22 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 33 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 29 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 27 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter