Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (137-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Whitmore * | 39 | 10-19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard * | 31 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 24 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 19 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| N'Faly Dante | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jack McVeigh | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 18-30 | 5-9 | 10-10 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 51 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 8-16 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 25 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter