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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (130-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 5-17 0-2 2-2 2 15 0 0 12 - -
Dyson Daniels * 33 6-10 0-0 2-4 3 7 3 0 14 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 32 11-13 5-7 0-0 1 0 4 1 27 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 31 8-12 0-1 0-2 12 2 1 1 16 - -
Dominick Barlow * 12 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Caris LeVert 31 11-19 3-8 0-0 3 5 3 1 25 - -
Terance Mann 29 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 7 - -
Clint Capela 16 4-7 0-0 3-6 4 1 1 1 11 - -
Garrison Mathews 13 4-6 3-5 0-1 2 1 0 2 11 - -
Keaton Wallace 2 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 35 9-19 3-8 14-14 10 10 0 0 35 - -
Luke Kennard * 34 8-15 1-4 0-0 3 7 2 0 17 - -
Jaylen Wells * 32 4-11 2-7 2-2 2 6 2 0 12 - -
Zach Edey * 26 6-8 1-1 2-2 5 2 0 1 15 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
GG Jackson 28 3-11 2-6 3-4 7 3 0 1 11 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 24 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 11 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 16 4-8 0-1 1-1 4 4 1 0 9 - -
John Konchar 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter