Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +16 (106-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bub Carrington * | 35 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyshawn George * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alex Sarr * | 25 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| AJ Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 26 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 30 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 27 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 26 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter