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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 69.5% 30.5% -
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% -
Margin 78.2% 21.8% -7.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 64.3% 35.7% -
Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% -
Log Adjusted 82.0% 18.0% -
Points Off/Def 70.8% 29.2% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -18 (101-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 31 6-16 4-11 3-4 11 2 2 0 19 - -
Jimmy Butler III * 30 3-7 1-3 6-6 3 4 1 0 13 - -
Stephen Curry * 30 6-14 3-9 6-8 3 10 1 1 21 - -
Draymond Green * 28 6-15 2-6 2-2 12 7 2 0 16 - -
Moses Moody * 21 1-6 0-2 3-3 5 0 1 0 5 - -
Buddy Hield 31 8-14 5-9 1-1 5 2 1 0 22 - -
Gui Santos 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Quinten Post 17 2-6 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 6 - -
Kevon Looney 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 4 - -
Gary Payton II 10 4-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 1 9 - -
Kevin Knox II 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Pat Spencer 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 34 8-21 4-9 5-8 9 7 1 1 25 - -
Miles Bridges * 33 11-20 4-9 9-9 9 3 0 2 35 - -
Mark Williams * 31 5-8 0-0 2-4 13 1 1 2 12 - -
Nick Smith Jr. * 28 3-12 0-8 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 - -
Josh Green * 26 0-3 0-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Damion Baugh 28 3-10 0-5 0-0 2 6 0 0 6 - -
Tidjane Salaün 15 3-3 3-3 1-3 2 0 0 0 10 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -
Jusuf Nurkić 14 1-3 0-2 3-6 5 2 0 1 5 - -
Seth Curry 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Moussa Diabaté 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter