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2025-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% - βœ“
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 βœ“ (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 71.0% 29.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 61.0% 39.0% - βœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -18 (98-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 39 3-15 1-8 0-2 10 5 2 1 7 - -
Anthony Edwards * 36 12-22 6-14 14-14 5 7 2 0 44 - -
Julius Randle * 33 8-14 2-5 2-2 6 3 0 0 20 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 32 5-9 2-4 1-1 7 4 3 0 13 - -
Mike Conley * 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 27 8-14 8-13 0-0 2 2 5 0 24 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 25 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 6 3 1 0 - -
Jaylen Clark 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Rob Dillingham 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Minott 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jesse Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Leonard Miller 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Luka Garza 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 37 10-23 3-9 3-7 10 4 0 2 26 - -
Devin Booker * 34 5-12 3-7 4-4 4 5 1 0 17 - -
Bradley Beal * 33 8-15 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 18 - -
Bol Bol * 25 4-9 1-5 0-0 11 3 0 0 9 - -
Nick Richards * 25 0-0 0-0 4-4 8 2 0 1 4 - -
Mason Plumlee 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 17 4-4 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Grayson Allen 14 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 2 5 - -
Royce O'Neale 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 - -
Ryan Dunn 10 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Vasilije Micić 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Oso Ighodaro 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Damion Lee 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Collin Gillespie 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter