Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -14 (132-146). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cason Wallace * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 15-24 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 24 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Ducas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 31 | 12-21 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 24 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter