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2025-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -2 (102-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 33 8-19 2-7 6-6 2 4 0 0 24 - -
RJ Barrett * 32 7-13 2-5 6-10 5 5 1 0 22 - -
Scottie Barnes * 28 5-12 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 10 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 6-10 0-0 4-5 11 3 1 1 16 - -
Gradey Dick * 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 30 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Orlando Robinson 21 2-4 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 1 6 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 19 2-4 0-1 1-2 5 1 2 1 5 - -
Jamal Shead 17 4-8 2-5 2-3 2 4 2 0 12 - -
A.J. Lawson 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 39 5-9 1-3 12-15 4 5 1 0 23 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 39 5-7 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Franz Wagner * 37 9-17 1-4 6-6 4 1 0 0 25 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 3-6 1-3 7-8 9 5 0 1 14 - -
Cole Anthony * 23 3-11 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 7 - -
Goga Bitadze 16 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 - -
Jett Howard 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Anthony Black 14 1-6 0-0 5-6 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Cory Joseph 10 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jonathan Isaac 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 - -
Tristan da Silva 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter