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2025-03-02

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% -
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Miami Heat -4 (112-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 43 7-12 0-2 0-0 7 3 0 1 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 42 9-18 4-9 1-2 9 5 2 3 23 - -
Jalen Brunson * 42 13-25 3-11 2-4 5 6 2 0 31 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 39 6-11 1-4 6-7 16 0 0 1 19 - -
Mikal Bridges * 28 2-11 1-6 0-0 4 8 0 0 5 - -
Miles McBride 30 4-10 3-7 1-2 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Landry Shamet 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Mitchell Robinson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Cameron Payne 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bam Adebayo * 42 12-16 0-2 6-8 7 4 1 0 30 - -
Tyler Herro * 41 8-24 2-11 4-4 4 7 0 0 22 - -
Davion Mitchell * 37 5-9 1-4 0-2 4 5 2 0 11 - -
Kel'el Ware * 29 6-7 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 6 12 - -
Alec Burks * 24 4-5 4-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Haywood Highsmith 37 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Duncan Robinson 31 4-10 2-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 10 - -
Terry Rozier 15 2-6 0-2 1-2 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Kyle Anderson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter