🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 ✓ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - ✓
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (127-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 34 10-18 4-9 2-2 7 1 1 0 26 - -
Josh Giddey * 33 5-15 0-4 8-11 9 7 0 0 18 - -
Matas Buzelis * 30 8-16 2-6 0-0 6 3 1 1 18 - -
Zach Collins * 29 6-9 2-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Dalen Terry * 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Tre Jones 26 5-6 0-0 1-1 0 6 0 0 11 - -
Julian Phillips 20 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Jalen Smith 17 4-7 2-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 10 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 2 6 - -
Jevon Carter 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 37 4-5 2-3 1-1 2 4 2 0 11 - -
Myles Turner * 31 6-14 2-7 2-2 6 2 1 1 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 8-14 1-5 3-7 6 4 0 2 20 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 30 7-12 2-4 1-1 5 12 3 0 17 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 29 9-16 6-11 3-4 5 1 0 0 27 - -
Ben Sheppard 20 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Obi Toppin 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 4-5 1-1 2-3 1 6 1 0 11 - -
Thomas Bryant 15 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Jarace Walker 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Johnny Furphy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
James Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter