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2025-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.8 ✓ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% - ✓
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.0% 83.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +4 (133-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 43 7-11 3-5 2-2 5 2 4 0 19 - -
Deni Avdija * 42 8-13 1-3 13-13 12 10 0 0 30 - -
Anfernee Simons * 41 8-23 4-12 7-7 2 2 0 0 27 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 38 7-20 1-6 3-3 6 2 1 0 18 - -
Donovan Clingan * 11 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Scoot Henderson 32 5-12 3-5 2-4 4 6 1 0 15 - -
Duop Reath 20 2-5 1-4 2-2 5 0 1 1 7 - -
Dalano Banton 17 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Kris Murray 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 39 4-16 2-7 3-4 2 7 1 0 13 - -
Max Strus * 36 5-15 4-11 0-0 8 3 2 0 14 - -
Evan Mobley * 32 6-14 1-3 7-10 8 3 0 1 20 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 31 8-15 5-9 11-12 7 0 1 0 32 - -
Jarrett Allen * 26 5-7 0-0 2-2 10 4 1 2 12 - -
Ty Jerome 35 8-17 2-4 7-7 5 6 6 0 25 - -
Dean Wade 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Sam Merrill 20 3-7 3-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Isaac Okoro 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 - -

* = starter