🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 25.4% 74.6% +5.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% -
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (110-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Braun * 46 10-22 2-8 2-2 6 3 4 1 24 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 39 3-9 2-6 2-4 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Nikola Jokić * 39 9-15 2-3 0-0 14 9 2 0 20 - -
Jamal Murray * 39 11-20 2-7 2-2 6 7 1 0 26 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 5-13 2-8 0-1 3 6 2 1 12 - -
Julian Strawther 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Zeke Nnaji 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
DeAndre Jordan 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -
Jalen Pickett 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 4-15 1-7 7-8 11 7 0 0 16 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 6-15 2-4 8-9 5 8 2 2 22 - -
Al Horford * 34 7-12 1-3 4-4 8 0 3 0 19 - -
Derrick White * 33 6-13 5-11 0-0 3 2 2 0 17 - -
Luke Kornet * 30 3-5 0-0 2-4 1 4 0 1 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 11 - -
Sam Hauser 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Neemias Queta 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 8 - -
Torrey Craig 6 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter