Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (117-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 8-17 | 4-12 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 30 | 7-16 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 9-23 | 2-9 | 11-11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown * | 21 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 29 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 21 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 20 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter