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2025-03-02

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 78.8% 21.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% -
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (128-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 35 7-17 1-5 5-5 3 7 1 1 20 - -
Devin Vassell * 33 9-19 2-9 0-1 6 3 1 1 20 - -
Chris Paul * 20 3-5 2-4 0-1 3 8 1 0 8 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 6 - -
Harrison Barnes * 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Stephon Castle 32 8-16 2-6 6-6 3 7 1 0 24 - -
Keldon Johnson 30 6-13 2-3 1-4 6 1 1 1 15 - -
Jeremy Sochan 29 7-9 1-1 3-4 11 3 1 0 18 - -
Julian Champagnie 23 5-8 3-5 1-1 7 2 1 0 14 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Wells * 38 7-14 4-10 0-0 2 3 0 0 18 - -
Santi Aldama * 37 7-16 1-8 0-0 8 11 1 1 15 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 15-25 5-8 7-8 4 2 2 2 42 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 28 5-12 1-6 1-1 4 7 1 0 12 - -
John Konchar * 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 - -
Zach Edey 26 7-7 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 3 17 - -
Luke Kennard 24 6-9 0-1 2-3 6 5 2 0 14 - -
Lamar Stevens 15 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -
GG Jackson 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Cam Spencer 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jay Huff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter