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2025-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -10 (103-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 40 7-18 1-5 6-7 2 6 0 0 21 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 8-16 2-5 2-3 6 4 2 0 20 - -
Malik Monk * 34 7-13 1-4 1-1 5 4 0 0 16 - -
Keegan Murray * 33 5-11 2-6 1-1 5 2 1 0 13 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 29 7-10 0-0 1-1 14 1 4 3 15 - -
Keon Ellis 27 4-5 1-2 3-3 5 0 5 1 12 - -
Jake LaRavia 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Trey Lyles 16 2-6 1-2 0-2 5 2 1 1 5 - -
Markelle Fultz 3 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 5 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 41 3-10 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 0 6 - -
Alperen Sengun * 37 10-16 0-0 10-17 10 5 0 1 30 - -
Jalen Green * 36 9-20 4-10 2-2 2 2 1 0 24 - -
Fred VanVleet * 34 1-8 1-7 0-0 5 5 3 0 3 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 4-13 2-8 2-2 1 0 2 0 12 - -
Tari Eason 22 5-8 3-5 1-1 4 2 1 0 14 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. 20 2-6 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 8 2-2 2-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Steven Adams 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter