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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% - βœ“
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 βœ“ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% - βœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns +17 (125-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 34 3-8 2-5 2-2 3 8 1 1 10 - -
Jordan Hawkins * 31 10-17 3-7 1-2 2 4 3 1 24 - -
Bruce Brown * 29 4-10 1-2 1-2 4 3 2 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 26 5-10 1-3 0-0 7 5 0 0 11 - -
Yves Missi * 25 11-14 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 24 - -
Jose Alvarado 22 1-6 0-2 1-2 5 4 0 0 3 - -
Karlo Matković 21 1-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Antonio Reeves 20 4-7 2-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 15 4-5 1-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Jamal Cain 12 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 1 3 0 4 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 6-13 3-9 2-2 0 9 1 0 17 - -
Kevin Durant * 35 7-10 2-2 1-1 2 6 3 0 17 - -
Tyus Jones * 31 3-11 3-8 0-0 1 6 1 0 9 - -
Nick Richards * 28 8-11 0-0 3-4 12 2 0 1 19 - -
Bol Bol * 26 9-12 5-8 2-2 3 2 0 2 25 - -
Royce O'Neale 25 6-9 6-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 18 - -
Collin Gillespie 18 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Mason Plumlee 17 2-5 0-0 2-2 9 3 0 0 6 - -
Ryan Dunn 16 2-2 1-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Oso Ighodaro 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter