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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% -
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +10 (125-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 40 8-19 1-4 1-1 7 8 0 0 18 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 10-19 2-3 2-2 8 6 1 1 24 - -
Gradey Dick * 34 4-11 3-6 2-4 9 1 0 0 13 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 32 6-16 4-11 7-8 5 5 0 0 23 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 10 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 28 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 - -
Orlando Robinson 24 4-11 1-3 3-4 8 3 0 1 12 - -
Jamal Shead 23 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 21 3-7 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Ochai Agbaji 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Collins * 40 5-10 0-4 5-6 13 5 1 1 15 - -
Josh Giddey * 40 7-17 2-6 3-4 8 12 1 1 19 - -
Coby White * 36 8-19 2-9 6-6 4 3 4 0 24 - -
Lonzo Ball * 34 5-13 4-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 14 - -
Matas Buzelis * 25 4-8 0-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Huerter 28 4-10 4-8 3-3 1 2 1 1 15 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 22 5-9 0-2 1-2 5 2 1 0 11 - -
Jalen Smith 12 2-7 0-4 0-0 6 1 1 1 4 - -
Tre Jones 12 4-6 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Julian Phillips 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalen Terry 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter