Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.0% | 11.0% | -11.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -16 (119-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 12-23 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 25 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 11 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 34 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 28 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 27 | 9-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 26 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keaton Wallace | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter