Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -15 (119-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 38 | 10-15 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 35 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 10-22 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dario Šarić | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 17 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 25 | 6-18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobi Klintman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter