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2025-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - βœ“
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 βœ— (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - βœ—
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 64.0% 36.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 37 6-18 1-5 2-3 8 1 2 0 15 - -
Naz Reid * 30 1-10 0-5 1-2 12 2 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Edwards * 26 6-12 2-6 4-4 6 5 1 0 18 - -
Mike Conley * 25 3-5 2-4 2-2 1 4 2 1 10 - -
Jaylen Clark * 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 34 4-10 2-8 4-7 2 2 1 1 14 - -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 29 9-15 1-3 6-6 5 2 0 0 25 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 5 6 1 0 9 - -
Rob Dillingham 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Luka Garza 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 38 5-10 2-5 11-12 6 5 2 0 23 - -
LeBron James * 37 11-21 4-9 7-10 17 6 1 1 33 - -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 35 6-20 1-9 8-12 13 5 0 0 21 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 22 3-5 0-0 4-6 7 0 1 1 10 - -
Rui Hachimura * 18 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 30 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Gabe Vincent 20 1-6 0-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 13 2-3 1-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jordan Goodwin 12 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 7 - -
Dalton Knecht 11 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter