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2025-02-28

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% - βœ—
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 βœ— (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - βœ—
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% - βœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (116-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 35 6-18 5-13 1-1 4 1 0 1 18 - -
Karlo Matković * 35 7-13 3-7 0-0 10 1 0 0 17 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 7-18 3-9 2-2 4 2 0 0 19 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 13-17 0-0 1-4 10 11 0 2 27 - -
Yves Missi * 29 5-11 0-0 1-3 10 1 0 0 11 - -
Jordan Hawkins 23 4-9 2-7 0-0 5 3 0 2 10 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 1 5 - -
Jose Alvarado 20 5-9 2-4 2-2 1 5 3 0 14 - -
Jamal Cain 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 41 13-29 6-16 4-4 7 9 1 0 36 - -
Tyus Jones * 38 5-7 5-6 0-0 5 12 1 0 15 - -
Kevin Durant * 35 12-23 4-13 0-0 5 2 1 1 28 - -
Nick Richards * 31 5-6 0-0 0-0 16 2 0 1 10 - -
Bol Bol * 28 6-10 3-6 0-0 6 1 0 2 15 - -
Mason Plumlee 16 1-1 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 1 4 - -
Grayson Allen 15 0-7 0-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Ryan Dunn 13 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Royce O'Neale 10 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Collin Gillespie 4 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter