Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (103-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 39 | 9-24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 30 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| KJ Simpson * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damion Baugh | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 17 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 11-24 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 33 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 27 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter