Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (121-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 13-16 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 5-22 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 25 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 19 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 37 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 11-23 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 24 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter