Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -6 (115-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 16-25 | 12-19 | 12-12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 56 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post | 24 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 38 | 11-22 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 36 | 16-27 | 4-10 | 5-8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 20 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tristan da Silva | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter