Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +12 (118-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 29 | 9-22 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 21 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 20 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 29 | 12-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 4 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter