Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +22 (131-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 31 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 32 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 24 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 37 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 29 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 32 | 9-16 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 27 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter