Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +20 (111-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 30 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 21 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 12-15 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 29 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 13 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| RayJ Dennis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter