Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | β (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | β |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +20 (117-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 33 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 31 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 31 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Peterson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JD Davison | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Baylor Scheierman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 34 | 9-21 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 21 | 10-15 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 18 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bobi Klintman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daniss Jenkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter