Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | β (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (107-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 12-27 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| DantΓ© Exum | 11 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 35 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter