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2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% - βœ“
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 βœ“ (25.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 19.3% 80.7% - βœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +36 (128-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
KJ Simpson * 35 7-18 1-7 1-1 6 2 2 0 16 - -
Nick Smith Jr. * 32 3-11 1-8 2-2 2 2 1 1 9 - -
Miles Bridges * 26 2-11 0-5 5-6 7 2 0 0 9 - -
Mark Williams * 25 6-12 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 3 12 - -
Josh Green * 24 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 6 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 28 5-8 2-4 0-0 10 0 0 0 12 - -
Damion Baugh 28 2-13 1-7 4-4 5 5 2 0 9 - -
Moussa DiabatΓ© 22 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 3 0 2 5 - -
Seth Curry 16 5-10 4-6 0-1 2 1 1 1 14 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 24 4-6 0-1 2-2 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Stephen Curry * 23 6-14 2-9 1-1 4 6 1 0 15 - -
Moses Moody * 22 4-5 3-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Draymond Green * 22 6-12 1-5 2-2 6 6 3 2 15 - -
Jimmy Butler III * 18 3-8 0-1 0-1 8 5 1 0 6 - -
Buddy Hield 19 6-11 4-9 0-1 2 1 2 0 16 - -
Gui Santos 19 1-5 0-2 1-1 5 6 2 0 3 - -
Quinten Post 17 3-8 1-4 1-2 3 2 2 0 8 - -
Gary Payton II 14 6-9 2-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Knox II 14 4-7 2-4 2-2 5 3 1 2 12 - -
Kevon Looney 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 4 - -
Pat Spencer 10 3-9 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Yuri Collins 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Jackson Rowe 8 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter