Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.6 | β (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +6 (109-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 6-21 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 18 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 12 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 36 | 9-21 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 23 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter