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2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 76.6% 23.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% -
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +3 (151-148). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 43 9-20 4-6 2-2 5 11 2 1 24 - -
Kevin Durant * 42 8-19 3-7 7-7 8 7 1 0 26 - -
Devin Booker * 34 12-20 2-4 2-2 3 10 0 0 28 - -
Bol Bol * 31 8-11 2-4 5-6 8 1 0 2 23 - -
Nick Richards * 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Mason Plumlee 33 3-3 0-0 1-2 7 3 2 1 7 - -
Grayson Allen 29 6-10 6-9 3-5 3 3 0 1 21 - -
Royce O'Neale 14 3-5 3-4 1-2 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Tyus Jones 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Ryan Dunn 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 42 8-15 3-9 6-6 3 9 2 0 25 - -
Jaylen Wells * 39 7-12 5-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 19 - -
Ja Morant * 37 7-25 1-12 14-14 4 8 2 0 29 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 11-13 3-3 3-5 6 1 1 2 28 - -
Zach Edey * 20 3-4 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 8 - -
Santi Aldama 31 6-9 5-7 0-0 6 5 3 0 17 - -
Brandon Clarke 20 6-10 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 1 14 - -
Luke Kennard 18 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 5 1 0 6 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 13 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 - -
GG Jackson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -

* = starter