Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (100-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 7-22 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 31 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 32 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 9-20 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter