Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -10 (101-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 40 | 7-18 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser * | 39 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 34 | 8-17 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Baylor Scheierman | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JD Davison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 23 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter