Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (37.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +42 (130-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 32 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 30 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 28 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 26 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Damion Baugh | 26 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tidjane Salaün | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk * | 31 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 30 | 16-19 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devin Carter | 6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Crawford | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter