Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (98-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 4-19 | 0-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 27 | 1-12 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 28 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 15 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 26 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 23 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter